2024 Spc.noaa.gov convective outlook - Day 2 Hail Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. No Risk Areas Forecast. SPC AC 091735 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1135 AM CST Sat Dec 09 2023 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE …

 
Nov 18, 2023 · Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. No Risk Areas Forecast. . Spc.noaa.gov convective outlook

SPC Current MD Page. All times are UTC Notice: The responsibility for Heavy Rain Mesoscale Discussions has been transferred to the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) on April 9, 2013. Click here for the Service Change Notice.. Archived Mesoscale Discussions To view mesoscale discussions for a previous day, type in the date you …The Thunderstorm Outlooks depict the probability of thunderstorm across the contiguous United States in 4 or 8 hour time periods. The probabilistic forecast directly expresses the best estimate of a thunderstorm occurring within 12 miles of a point. The three probabilistic forecast thresholds are: 10, 40, and 70 percent.Aug 28, 2021 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Sat Aug 28 19:51:19 UTC 2021 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 281951 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021 Valid 282000Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN …Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 2 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.SPC Products All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT ... SPC AC 031255 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA...NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...MIDDLE/EASTERN TENNESSEE...CENTRAL/EASTERN KENTUCKY...AND AREAS NEAR THE OHIO RIVER IN SOUTHEASTERN ...25 Haz 2023 ... Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report ... Newark, NJ... SPC AC 251732 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction ...Links with this icon indicate that you are leaving the NOAA website. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) cannot attest to the accuracy of a non-federal website. Linking to a non-federal Website does not constitute an endorsement by NOAA or any of its employees of the sponsors or the information and products presented on ...Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.Sep 9, 2023 · Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. Leitman/Bentley.. 06/14/2023 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z. Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.Jun 2, 2020 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Tue Jun 2 16:32:57 UTC 2020 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 021632 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1132 AM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED …Search For NWS All NOAA. ABOUT. AWC; ... This site is changing on October 16, 2023. Preview the new site at Beta.AviationWeather.gov. SCN23-79: Upgrade of Aviation Weather Center Website. Convection. Conv Home. TCF. ECFP. Radar. Click on images to access plots. Current Convective SIGMETs. TCF. ECFP. SPC Watch/Warning. SPC …Oct 4, 2023 · Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Oct 4, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook 1,485,524. Rochester, MN...Eau Claire, WI...Cheyenne, WY...Grand Forks, ND...Mason City, IA... SPC AC 280603 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0103 AM CDT Sat May 28 2022 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR CENTRAL NEBRASKA …Jul 19, 2023 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Wed Jul 19 12:57:12 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 191257 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Wed Jul 19 2023 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT …Otherwise, the remainder of the Outlook remains on track, with severe hail and wind likely with outflow dominant storms across the southern Plains. An instance or two of large hail may still accompany a small convective cluster across central IL (see Mesoscale Discussion 0688 for more details).The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center (SPC) develops and issues several forecast products related to convective weather and associated threats. Among these …Mar 2, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.25 Haz 2023 ... Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report ... Newark, NJ... SPC AC 251732 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction ...1d: Day 2 Convective Outlook with example of complete probabilistic outline for total severe weather threat (NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC). Page 4. 4 cover from 20,000 to ...The SPC produces probabilistic Convective Outlooks in conjunction with the traditional categorical Convective Outlooks. These outlooks are done for all Day 1, Day 2, and Day 3 periods.. Categorical Convective Outlooks. The traditional Convective Outlook is a categorical forecast that specifies the perceived level of threat via the descriptive …All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT Education ...Sep 9, 2023 · Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. May 6, 2023 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Sat May 6 12:53:28 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 061253 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 AM CDT Sat May 06 2023 Valid 061300Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN …Full access Abstract/Excerpt Full Text PDF Abstract While previous work has shown that the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) convective outlooks accurately capture …Description: While previous work has shown that the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) convective outlooks accurately capture meteorological outcomes, evidence suggests …Mar 2, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Mar 2, 2023 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Thu Mar 2 06:00:00 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 020600 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 AM CST Thu Mar 02 2023 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A …SPC AC 031255 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA...NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...MIDDLE/EASTERN …On April 9th, 2013 at 1500 UTC responsibility for Heavy Rain Mesoscale Discussions will transfer to the Weather Prediction Center (WPC). Click here for the Service Change Notice. (Updated: April 5 2013) We added population information potentially impacted by the categorical convective and fire weather outlooks.Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Mar 23, 2023 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective OutlookLinks with this icon indicate that you are leaving the NOAA website. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) cannot attest to the accuracy of a non-federal website. Linking to a non-federal Website does not constitute an endorsement by NOAA or any of its employees of the sponsors or the information and products presented on ...Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Dec 6, 2023 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Updated: Wed Dec 6 00:32:00 UTC 2023 ( Print Version | | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion TableMar 9, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Thu Mar 9 19:45:13 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 091945 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0145 PM CST Thu Mar 09 2023 Valid 092000Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL …Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Oct 4, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Wed Oct 4 16:30:17 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 041630 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Wed Oct 04 2023 Valid 041630Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED …All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT Education ...SPC AC 031255 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA...NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...MIDDLE/EASTERN TENNESSEE...CENTRAL/EASTERN KENTUCKY...AND AREAS NEAR THE OHIO RIVER IN SOUTHEASTERN ...25 Nis 2023 ... ... SPC severe weather database back to 1950. 2022 Total Severe Weather Reports ... www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/OneTor_F-scale-modifications.pdf. For all ...Aug 28, 2021 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Sat Aug 28 19:51:19 UTC 2021 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 281951 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021 Valid 282000Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS AN …Apr 15, 2023 · Secondary convective development is possible later in the day along the trailing cold front as it surges into southeast TX. It's not clear how far southwest convection will develop along the boundary due to weak low-level convergence, but warm surface temperatures and steep low-level lapse rates may encourage isolated storms as far west as SAT ... Day 3: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlook. Day 4-8: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlook. NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Fire Weather OutlooksMar 31, 2023 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook: Updated: Fri Mar 31 05:26:34 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 2 Risk: ... SPC AC 310526 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1226 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A …Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Jun 8, 2023 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookMay 12, 2023 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook: Updated: Fri May 12 05:58:49 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 2 Risk: ... SPC AC 120558 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Fri May 12 2023 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A …Apr 28, 2023 · Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Apr 28, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook 12 abr 2022 ... Convective outlooks are issued daily and they forecast the potential for severe weather for a certain day. Level 0–Thunderstorms. With this risk ...High-resolution maps of essential U.S. weather data: NWS/NOAA forecasts and warnings, estimated rainfall and snowfall over the last few days, and more.Latest Hazardous Weather Outlook. Central Iowa Watches and Warnings Map. US SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook, Current Watches, and Radar. Show/Hide WWA Definitions. Severe Weather. Winter Weather. Heat. Visibility Restrictions. Tornado Warning.Mar 26, 2023 · SPC AC 260117 Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0817 PM CDT Sat Mar 25 2023 Valid 260100Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI... Jun 2, 2020 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Tue Jun 2 16:32:57 UTC 2020 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 021632 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1132 AM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED …Mar 2, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Mar 16, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Thu Mar 16 16:00:08 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 161600 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1100 AM CDT Thu Mar 16 2023 Valid 161630Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS AN …Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.25 Nis 2023 ... ... SPC severe weather database back to 1950. 2022 Total Severe Weather Reports ... www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/OneTor_F-scale-modifications.pdf. For all ...(see below for convective outlook map explanation). Source: NOAA SPC. Today's Tornado, Hail and High Wind Risk Maps showing today's risk potential for tornadoes ...Jul 12, 2023 · Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Jul 12, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.Mar 30, 2023 · 23,050,086. Indianapolis, IN...Milwaukee, WI...Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Louisville, KY... SPC AC 300557 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN IOWA INTO NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...AND ACROSS NORTHEAST ... Dec 1, 2010 · September 21, 2022: Lightning climatology across the contiguous United States (CONUS) became operational. It can be found here . More news here Overview Conv. Outlook Watches MDs Storm Reports Mesoanalysis Fire Hazards All Products Watches MDs Outlooks Fire Thunderstorm Outlook – Issued: 12/06/2023 at 1220Z All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT Education ... Apr 5, 2023 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Mar 7, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Mon Mar 7 00:39:23 UTC 2022 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 070039 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0639 PM CST Sun Mar 06 2022 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN …Secondary convective development is possible later in the day along the trailing cold front as it surges into southeast TX. It's not clear how far southwest convection will develop along the boundary due to weak low-level convergence, but warm surface temperatures and steep low-level lapse rates may encourage isolated storms as far west …Mar 7, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Mon Mar 7 00:39:23 UTC 2022 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 070039 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0639 PM CST Sun Mar 06 2022 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN …Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Mar 24, 2023 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSPC Day 1 Convective Outlook expanded westward. Eastern counties went from ... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/. Quickly became obvious that ...Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. No Risk Areas Forecast.Convective Outlooks are issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK. Convective Outlooks consist of graphics depicting severe thunderstorm ...Dec 15, 2021 · Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Apr 28, 2021 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Wed Apr 28 12:46:46 UTC 2021 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 281246 Day 1 …Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Apr 27, 2023 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookArea Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. 86,106. 7,693,240. Omaha, NE...Minneapolis, MN...St. Paul, MN...Des Moines, IA...Sioux Falls, SD... SPC AC 152257 Day 1 Convective Outlook AMEND 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0457 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021 Valid 152245Z - 161200Z ...THERE …The convective outlook has been issued by the NOAA/. Storm Prediction Center ... NOAA, 16 pp., https://www.spc.noaa.gov/publi- cations/krocak/otlk-res.pdf ...Spc.noaa.gov convective outlook

The convective and fire weather outlook shapefiles and KML files are created based on the outlook/fire points product (as defined by KWNSPTS/KWNSPFW, respectively) then converted to GeoJSON in two versions: overlay and non-overlay. The KML and shapefile are then created based on GeoJSON using GDAL utilities. Additional reformatting steps were ... . Spc.noaa.gov convective outlook

spc.noaa.gov convective outlook

Jul 12, 2023 · Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Jul 12, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Mar 16, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Thu Mar 16 16:00:08 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 161600 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1100 AM CDT Thu Mar 16 2023 Valid 161630Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS AN …Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)SPC Convective Outlooks. Jeremy Grams and Bill Bunting, Storm Prediction Center. Days 1, 2, and 3. Overview: Convective outlooks for days 1, 2, and 3 consist of categorical and probabilistic graphics that …Recent 18Z FWD showed substantial capping, but modifying the sounding for current conditions lessens the convective inhibition considerably. This modified sounding validates the current mesoanalysis, which suggests convective inhibition has eroded for area of north and central TX south of the Metroplex.spc ac 081728 day 2 convective outlook nws storm prediction center norman ok 1128 am cst wed mar 08 2023 valid 091200z - 101200z ...there is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms thursday afternoon into evening across parts of southern arkansas and northern mississippi into adjacent portions of alabama...and perhaps thursday evening across ...Year In Review - NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center. 2022 started busy with the most March tornadoes on record. Severe weather continued through April, May, and June with 61 consecutive days with a Slight Risk or higher. However, there were no violent tornadoes in May for the 3rd year in a row, which ties the longest such streak on record. Mar 30, 2023 · 23,050,086. Indianapolis, IN...Milwaukee, WI...Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Louisville, KY... SPC AC 300557 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN IOWA INTO NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...AND ACROSS NORTHEAST ... The threat for severe hail/damaging winds will likely be greatest across the eastern FL coast, where diurnal warming will be maximized ahead of any convection. .. Moore/Darrow.. 04/28/2023 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z. Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report ...23,050,086. Indianapolis, IN...Milwaukee, WI...Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Louisville, KY... SPC AC 300557 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN IOWA INTO NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...AND ACROSS NORTHEAST ...Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Hail Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers …Apr 15, 2023 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Sat Apr 15 19:52:10 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 151952 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 PM CDT Sat Apr 15 2023 Valid 152000Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN …Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Mar 1, 2023 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective OutlookSevere Weather Outlook for Leesburg, Florida. ... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/FL_swody1.png. Severe Weather ...SPC Products All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT ... On April 9th, 2013 at 1500 UTC responsibility for Heavy Rain Mesoscale Discussions will transfer to the Weather Prediction Center (WPC). Click here for the Service Change Notice. (Updated: April 5 2013) We added population information potentially impacted by the categorical convective and fire weather outlooks.The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) convective outlook is one of the oldest continuous severe weather forecasts, having existed in one form or another since 1955 (Corfidi …Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)The convective outlook is the primary forecast used by a wide variety of users such as National Weather Service (NWS) offices, emergency managers, and other ...Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Apr 13, 2023 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookSevere weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Mar 24, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookOct 4, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Wed Oct 4 16:30:17 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 041630 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Wed Oct 04 2023 Valid 041630Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED …Jul 7, 2023 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Fri Jul 7 05:42:41 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 070542 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1242 AM CDT Fri Jul 07 2023 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF …SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook expanded westward. Eastern counties went from ... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/. Quickly became obvious that ...These outlook categories are issued when organized convection with tornadoes, and/or large hail and/or damaging winds are expected. Examples of organized convection include supercells, squall lines, and multicell thunderstorm complexes. Pulse type thunderstorms, consisting primarily of solitary brief severe Day 1, 2 and 3 Convective Outlooks 1Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. 350,011.spc ac 081728 day 2 convective outlook nws storm prediction center norman ok 1128 am cst wed mar 08 2023 valid 091200z - 101200z ...there is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms thursday afternoon into evening across parts of southern arkansas and northern mississippi into adjacent portions of alabama...and perhaps thursday evening across ...Mar 24, 2023 · Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Hail Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. SIG SEVERE. 33,068. 1,876,382. Probabilistic Tornado Graphic. Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Tornado Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. 21,217.Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Kerr/Lyons.. 12/14/2022 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z. Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.SPC AC 031255 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Fri Mar 03 2023 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA...NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA...MIDDLE/EASTERN …Jul 12, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Wed Jul 12 16:40:09 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 121640 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 AM CDT Wed Jul 12 2023 Valid 121630Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS AN …Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. No Risk Areas Forecast.Day 3: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlook. Day 4-8: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlook. NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Fire Weather Outlooks Jul 19, 2023 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Wed Jul 19 12:57:12 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 191257 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Wed Jul 19 2023 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT …Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %.Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Please see SPC watches numbered 121-125 and related mesoscale discussions for near-term coverage of the severe threats in their respective areas. Broadly favorable low-level theta-e will exist in the outlook corridor, with stronger deep-layer winds and large-scale support in northern areas -- closer to the ejecting mid/upper trough.Jun 13, 2023 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Tue Jun 13 13:00:36 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 131300 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 AM CDT Tue Jun 13 2023 Valid 131300Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN …In that swath, large low-level hodographs will develop ahead of the main convective band, leading to 150-300 J/kg effective SRH and 40-50-kt effective-shear magnitudes. That will be collocated with a northward-directed corridor of afternoon destabilization and increasing buoyancy related to: 1.SPC AC 311630 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR FAR SOUTHEAST IOWA...WEST-CENTRAL ILLINOIS...FAR NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND IN PARTS OF EASTERN …Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. 86,106. 7,693,240. Omaha, NE...Minneapolis, MN...St. Paul, MN...Des Moines, IA...Sioux Falls, SD... SPC AC 152257 Day 1 Convective Outlook AMEND 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0457 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021 Valid 152245Z - 161200Z ...THERE …25 Nis 2023 ... ... SPC severe weather database back to 1950. 2022 Total Severe Weather Reports ... www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/OneTor_F-scale-modifications.pdf. For all ...Severe Weather Outlook for Leesburg, Florida. ... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/FL_swody1.png. Severe Weather ...27 Nis 2011 ... Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table. Public Severe Weather Outlook ... SPC AC 271629 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM ...Jul 19, 2023 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Wed Jul 19 12:57:12 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 191257 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Wed Jul 19 2023 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT …spc ac 040604 day 1 convective outlook nws storm prediction center norman ok 0104 am cdt tue apr 04 2023 valid 041200z - 051200z ...there is a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms there is a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms from eastern iowa into northwest illinois and northeast missouri...and from southern missouri southwestward toward ...Microsoft Outlook is a calendar that comes as part of the Microsoft Office package. It is part of the business, home and student versions. The Outlook calendar is part of the Outlook email system that also operates through the Microsoft Off...Year In Review - NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center. 2022 started busy with the most March tornadoes on record. Severe weather continued through April, May, and June with 61 consecutive days with a Slight Risk or higher. However, there were no violent tornadoes in May for the 3rd year in a row, which ties the longest such streak on record.Apr 30, 2023 · Probabilistic Tornado Graphic. Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Tornado Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 5 %. 37,438. 12 abr 2022 ... Convective outlooks are issued daily and they forecast the potential for severe weather for a certain day. Level 0–Thunderstorms. With this risk ...Jan 11, 2021 · Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. No Risk Areas Forecast. Nov 5, 2023 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook Updated: Sun Nov 5 05:47:09 UTC 2023 ( Print Version | | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion TableSPC Products All SPC Forecasts Current Watches Meso. Discussions Conv. Outlooks Tstm. Outlooks Fire Wx Outlooks RSS Feeds E-Mail Alerts Weather Information Storm Reports Storm Reports Dev. NWS Hazards Map National RADAR Product Archive NOAA Weather Radio Research Non-op. Products Forecast Tools Svr. Tstm. Events SPC Publications SPC-NSSL HWT ... Mar 2, 2023 · Recent 18Z FWD showed substantial capping, but modifying the sounding for current conditions lessens the convective inhibition considerably. This modified sounding validates the current mesoanalysis, which suggests convective inhibition has eroded for area of north and central TX south of the Metroplex. Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)29 ene 2022 ... Jeff's Weather Service, created by Jeff Chabot, offers current conditions, forecast tools such as the Forecast Animator, and other weather ...Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Oct 23, 2023 · Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Oct 23, 2023 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook Additional storms may develop with some of these becoming supercellular while a complex mixed convective mode (perhaps downscale growth into some cells) may occur. Regardless, all hazards seem possible given the ample buoyancy (500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE) forecast across parts of GA into the Carolinas during the day.Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area. 15 %.Initially semi-discrete supercells will pose a risk for tornadoes, a couple potentially strong (EF-2+ intensity) early in the event across parts of western North TX into southwest OK. Supercells are then expected to grow upscale into a fast-moving linear convective system shifting east/northeast across much of OK and southeast KS.Day 3: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlook. Day 4-8: NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlook. NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center Fire Weather OutlooksThe Thunderstorm Outlooks depict the probability of thunderstorm across the contiguous United States in 4 or 8 hour time periods. The probabilistic forecast directly expresses the best estimate of a thunderstorm occurring within 12 miles of a point. The three probabilistic forecast thresholds are: 10, 40, and 70 percent.Kerr/Lyons.. 12/14/2022 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z. Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.In that swath, large low-level hodographs will develop ahead of the main convective band, leading to 150-300 J/kg effective SRH and 40-50-kt effective-shear magnitudes. That will be collocated with a northward-directed corridor of afternoon destabilization and increasing buoyancy related to: 1.Broken convective line segments continue to migrate east/northeast from western TN into the greater OH River Valley region. Damaging winds continue to be noted with the stronger segments of the line and/or embedded cells, and broken cloud cover ahead of the line coupled with low 60s dewpoints continues to support MLCAPE values near 1000 J/kg.Jul 19, 2023 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Wed Jul 19 12:57:12 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 191257 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 AM CDT Wed Jul 19 2023 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT …Apr 28, 2023 · The threat for severe hail/damaging winds will likely be greatest across the eastern FL coast, where diurnal warming will be maximized ahead of any convection. .. Moore/Darrow.. 04/28/2023 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z. Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report ... Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center. Jul 12, 2023 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective OutlookThe convective outlook has been issued by the NOAA/. Storm Prediction Center ... NOAA, 16 pp., https://www.spc.noaa.gov/publi- cations/krocak/otlk-res.pdf ...Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic. Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. Day 1 Wind Risk. Area (sq. mi.)Mar 30, 2023 · 29,161,567. Indianapolis, IN...Milwaukee, WI...Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Louisville, KY... SPC AC 301732 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1232 PM CDT Thu Mar 30 2023 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN IOWA INTO NORTHWEST ILLINOIS AND FAR NORTHEAST ... Jun 8, 2023 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook: Updated: Thu Jun 8 06:06:58 UTC 2023 ( | ) Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table: Categorical Graphic; Day 1 Risk: ... SPC AC 080606 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0106 AM CDT Thu Jun 08 2023 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL …. Mega replay owensboro